Everything you need to know about the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference
Sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, this symposium has been held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, since 1981. Each year, the symposium focuses on a pressing economic issue, providing a platform How to buy a bot for key figures to discuss and debate potential economic policy changes. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is one of the most significant annual events in the global financial calendar, drawing the attention of policymakers, economists, and traders alike. To be sure, 1-2 additional hikes are conceivable, but we think it would take an upside surprise in inflation data to see any more Fed tightening. There will come a time when the Fed could face additional challenging trade-offs. But there is clearly no sign it is considering a formal change to its inflation target.
“I still believe quite strongly that we really need to trend this inflation number toward 2%; it has to be sustainable. Having the labor market cool some is helping that, but there’s still work to do.” Like many of his colleagues, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid told CNBC in an interview this week, opening the symposium, that he would let the data lead his decisions and would not commit to a rate cut timeline. This year’s theme will explore lessons learned from the response of monetary policy to both the pandemic and the subsequent surge in inflation. Over the years, several speeches delivered at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium have become landmarks in economic policy discourse. One of the most memorable was Ben Bernanke’s 2010 speech, where he laid out the case for a second round of quantitative easing (QE2). This policy, aimed at boosting the U.S. economy during the post-crisis recovery, was a turning point in the Federal Reserve’s approach to monetary policy.
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Headline inflation is what households and businesses experience most directly, so this decline is very good news. But food and energy prices are influenced by global factors that remain volatile, and can provide a misleading signal of where inflation is headed. In my remaining comments, I will focus on core PCE inflation, which omits the food and energy components.
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Getting inflation sustainably back down to 2 percent is expected to require a period of below-trend economic growth as well as some softening in labor market conditions. That has subjected the Fed to a considerable amount of criticism for its decision not to cut interest rates at its last meeting, which took place just two days before the July jobs report came out. Now, with a cooling labor market and inflation trailing just a hair above the Fed’s 2% target, the central bank is widely expected to cut rates in September. what is a forex trader in the steps they take, explained But some economists are concerned that central bankers waited too long, and that the delay could be exacerbating the weakening of the labor market. The labor market The rebalancing of the labor market has continued over the past year but remains incomplete.
Understanding the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
But whoever is president of the Kansas City Fed has the final say on the guest list. And now, very few market economists get invites — crushing news for Lauren Goodwin, an economist at New York Life Investments. When the event was just getting started back in the 1980s and ’90s, he said Wall Street economists were allowed to attend too and got to rub shoulders with top Fed officials.
- Every year, the symposium focuses on an important economic issue that faces world economies.
- Each year, the Federal Reserve of Kansas City hosts the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, bringing together economists, financial market participants, academics, U.S. government representatives, and media to discuss central banking policy issues.
- Additionally, transcripts of the proceedings are posted on the website as they become available, a process that generally takes a few months.
Julia Kagan is a financial/consumer journalist and former senior editor, personal finance, of Investopedia. Powell’s 2022 keynote Jackson Hole address got the exact opposite reaction. It set in motion that officials were going to be unapologetic in their fight against inflation, even if it meant inflicting “pain,” as Powell said, on households and businesses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all closed at least 3% lower that day. Next to nothing, if it weren’t for an annual invite-only summit the Kansas City Federal Reserve hosts at the Jackson Lake Lodge nestled in a valley by the Teton mountains just outside Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Anyone who wishes to view them can do so for free online, or get a free printed copy after they are published. The symposium proceedings are closely followed by market participants, as unexpected remarks emanating from the heavyweights at the symposium have the potential to affect global stock and currency markets. What Powell is saying is that policy needs to remain restrictive in order to achieve lower inflation. He is not necessarily saying more hikes are required, but he is saying that the Fed isn’t likely to lower rates anytime soon. Taylor Tompkins has worked for more than a decade as a journalist covering business, finance, and the economy. She has logged thousands of hours interviewing experts, analyzing data, and writing articles to help readers understand economic forces.
The headliner the past few years has been none other than Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, making an invite to Jackson Hole priceless for some people. “Central bankers will surely feel more satisfied axi forex broker with their policy levers than the last two times they met at the Wyoming retreat,” wrote analysts at Deutsche Bank. The conference eventually moved to Jackson Hole, where its focus took a turn in 1982. The event that year featured then-Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker, who expanded the focus beyond agriculture. It’s been held at the Jackson Lake Lodge every year since, except for the 2020 conference, which was held virtually due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Each year, the event provides a venue for international central bankers, Federal Reserve officials, other policymakers and academics to discuss issues of mutual concern. Visit kansascityfed.org to read more about the symposium’s decades-long history. The 2020s have witnessed some of the most forceful monetary policy actions on record.